The president showed this side, which political forecasters say makes it difficult to predict how his reelection bid will go, with an Oct.

вЂ¦ IвЂ™ll tell you what: WeвЂ™re going to win the state of New Mexico.вЂќД«ut juxtapose that to some of his actions and a portrait of a less-confident and exasperated Trump emerges. 16 campaign rally in New Mexico, a state Hillary Clinton won in 2016. вЂњWe are going to keep on fighting, and we are going to keep on winning, winning, winning,вЂќ the confident version of Trump told supporters during a Sept.

But as the impeachment inquiry ramped up, with developments sometimes happening rapidly, the president admitted of the even more chaotic environment: вЂњI sort of thrive on it.вЂќДЇor his part, the increasingly embattled president, has at times appeared confident - but at others erratic, frustrated and angry. вЂњChaosвЂќ is a word White House aides once chided reporters for using while describing TrumpвЂ™s presidency. So what might happen literally changes by the day.вЂќ вЂњIt seems this presidency has so many corners and so many possible things that might be around those corners. And then you have the Donald Trump presidency,вЂќ says David Brady, a political science professor at Stanford University. вЂњThe problem with forecasting anything one year ahead is you cannot see around corners. WhatвЂ™s a political prognosticator, with no precedent or similar data to do? forces killed ISIS leader AbЕ« Bakr al-Baghdadi, but that only underscored the importance of U.S. And he needs the religious right to remain a dependable part of his conservative voter base for any chance at a second term. The president needs GOP senators to hold the party line to prevent his removal if the House, as expected, impeaches him. Republican lawmakers and conservative evangelical voters reacted with disgust. Those Americans had served as a buffer between Turkish troops and Kurds living there - the only thing preventing the former from wiping out the latter. military forces from northern Syria added a new potential hurdle. If House DemocratsвЂ™ impeachment probe wasnвЂ™t enough to complicate 2020 forecasting, the commander in chiefвЂ™s announcement last month that he would remove U.S. But TrumpвЂ™s many controversies and the prospects of impeachment make his chances less predictable. Precedent says that a president with a solid economy and an approval rating of 40-to-42 percent would have a good shot at reelection, he says. вЂњItвЂ™s just not clear how we should evaluate these events.вЂќ вЂњThere is no precedent whatsoever about what these events mean for a president seeking reelection, or what events might be ahead,вЂќ says Ken Mayer, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin. Much less against a to-be-determined Democratic opponent from a wide-open primary fight featuring a handful of front-runners that each, due to unique political ideologies and policy prescriptions, would present very different general election dynamics - and challenges for Trump. Political professionals and academics basically threw up their hands at that point, saying there was no precedent for gaming out how a president who had just been hit with the harshest constitutional rebuke possible by one - or maybe both - chambers of Congress might fare in a reelection bid. Public polling showed voters quickly moved from mostly opposing TrumpвЂ™s possible impeachment by the House and removal by the Senate to mostly being in support. ThatвЂ™s the day Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced a formal impeachment inquiry over TrumpвЂ™s request - which he and acting Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney have both since admitted, then walked back in their own ways - that UkraineвЂ™s new government investigate Democrats. Political insiders from both parties, echoed by nonpartisan experts, said all summer that forecasting the 2020 presidential race was almost impossible for a raft of reasons. Donald TrumpвЂ™s presidency has thrust the United States into plenty of unprecedented territory and it could again if the brash, testosterone-fueled campaign he is sculpting becomes the first featuring an impeached incumbent chief executive.

White house turmoil